VLADIVOSTOK. May 2. VOSTOK-MEDIA – According to pessimistic forecast predicts that the population will decline by 14 million people to 127, 413 mln, while optimists think the number will increase by 6 mln totaling in 147 mln people. According to average forecasts, the increase in population is possible only in Southern and Ural Federal Districts. The vice principal of Institute of Demographics - Higher School of Economics Segey Zakharov believes that increase in population in the South is primarily due to the highest birthrate in the country ( in Chechnya and Dagestan) and significant inflow of external migration in Stavropol and Krasnodar Territory. Since breakup of the Soviet Union nearly as much as 1 million Armenians moved to Russia and majority of them settled in South, said S. Zakharov. He also believes that the increase in Ural population to be due internal migration from Siberia and the Far East.
Zakharov who had been working on UN report ‘Russia is in the ace of demographic disaster” disagrees with the optimistic forecasts made by Federal State Statistics Service. He estimated that Russia won’t have potential for growth in population for the next 30 years. Thus Russia may shift from 9th to 14th position by number of population and thus be outrun by Ethiopia, Egypt. Philippine and Mexico.